PBFANTASY: Playoff Time

I thought for sure we have seen the last of the Air21 Express last Wednesday.

Oh well.

Still, it’s funny that for as long as I can remember, there is only one SMC franchise in the playoffs.

Welcome to the strange world of the 2011 PBA Commissioner’s Cup! For PBFantasy fanatics, this is where the tough decisions take place. Whom to choose and whom to sit out?

Maybe I can help.

Or will I? 

I hope you haven’t used the main guns of Alaska because they will seriously help you in the quarterfinals and semis stages. First up, Tim Cone heavily renders the services of his four elite players – Joe Devance, LA Tenorio, Cyrus Baguio, and Sonny Thoss. He also has Tony dela Cruz in the lineup but him exploding is a long shot. Minor stat points can trickle in for Mark Borboran, Bonbon Custodio, and Sam Eman. As for LD Williams, he may not be a big time stat provider but he is consistent in the 45-50 range. Just because they were pounded hard by the Express, doesn’t mean they’ll wince in the quarterfinals.

I’m sure most of the PBFantasy lineups have a Danny Seigle in their lineup. Seigle is logging in heavy stats and it’s insane that San Miguel used him sparingly in his final years with the corp. Dondon Hontiveros is like Baguio in some ways – meaning he can sometimes explode in points but bog down in other statistical factors. I am not that keen in using JR Reyes, Dorian Pena, Paul Artadi, Wynne Arboleda, and Josh Urbiztondo though. Sure, they will have their occasional “toast of the town” games but there are other players good in their positions (not unless you used them all up). Alpha Bangura is reliable but he is solely a SG and doesn’t do much in the rebounding category.

The mighty Ginebra core has a bunch of superstars at their disposal. It is safe though to use Willie Miller and Mark Caguioa. They are basically the bulk of the scoring load for the Kings who’ll seriously rely on Nate Brumfield on inside points. The problem though is that it’s virtually impossible for these two to have simultaneous good games (although at least Miller has other categories to back up his stand). Again, the stats are not-so-consistent in other ends but hopefully Jong Uichico won’t experiment with his lineup. Last conference Jong loved Jimbo Aquino, at the start of this conference, he used John Wilson and now his eyes are set on Rob Lagabala. Rudy Hatfield is a safe bet for the forward spot but he’s only good for rebounds. Ronald Tubid and Mike Cortez are also not-so-safe bets because their playing time fluctuates all the time. To get great results, maybe you need to check out their games out first to figure out Uichico’s rotation. As for Brumfield, his stats has been lagging as of late but he is still the inside force that Uichico loves.

Hassan Adams is something you can use. He can be inconsistent at times but he’s basically a threat. I still think the ROS locals are unreliable and that’s due to Yeng Guiao’s mind-boggling rotation. I don’t know who you should choose but the only four names that should matter are Gabe Norwood, Larry Rodriguez, Beau Belga, and Doug Kramer. These four guys are the only players clocking in 20 minutes and basically they are the players that can explode in almost all stat categories. But if you want to choose Ronjay Buenafe, I won’t stop you but consider yourself warned. Ronjay doesn’t even average 1 rebound a game.  

You will have a field on who to choose on the Tropang Texters’ stable. They have nine players averaging 20 fantasy points and up. Kelly Williams and Jimmy Alapag are great choices. Chalking up great stat hauls are Ryan Reyes, Ranidel de Ocampo, Harvey Carey, Larry Fonacier, Ali Peek, and Jason Castro. Paul Harris started out weak but now has become one of the leading contenders for the Best Import Award. He is a double-double performer and will explode when needed. I guess the only problem for TNT takers is that Chot Reyes will use the players that played well in the first three quarters. I can see Fonacier sitting out the payoff period but the others are fair game. I am sure about Alapag but predicting the games of the other frontliners is risky.

They are making waves in the PBA and you can blame Marcus Douthit for this. His towering presence makes almost unstoppable in offense and defense. He is proving Chris Alexander / Diamon Simpson numbers and that’s really something. However just like Alexander and Simpson, he is no ballhog. A testament to the brilliance of Rajko Toroman’s coaching is their overflowing offense. Who could imagine these college stars performing feats of awesomeness against established PBA bets? Marcio Lassiter, JV Casio, and Chris Tiu are averaging 30+ fantasy points per game. All three guys average 30 minutes and whoever thought Casio and Tiu are nothing but measly scorers, then you need to check out their stats. The only problem with Tiu is that he is playing hurt. If you want to play their other bets, smart money goes to Japeth Aguilar, Mark Barroca, and Mac Baracael.

Of course, in order for you to pull out a victory in your league, you must know the playoff landscape. If I’m going to choose, I’ll be choosing players from Alaska and Ginebra in the quarterfinals. Rain or Shine needs to have a second and third option to deal with the powerhouse roster of Ginebra. Alaska and Air21 will slug it out with the Aces avenging their recent loss with a series win.

I hope all the games reach Game 3 because I don’t know if it is such a great idea to gamble and put it TNT and Smart-Gilas players because “you had a hunch the quarterfinals will finish on Sunday”.

I won’t stop you though.

Game over!


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